According to a recent research, despite commitments made at the COP26 climate summit, the globe is still far from meeting its targets for controlling global temperature rise.
It estimates that the globe would warm by 2.4 degrees Celsius, considerably beyond the 1.5 degrees Celsius target set by governments.
According to the Climate Activity Tracker, COP26 “has a large credibility, action, and commitment gap” (CAT).
The Glasgow Summit is seen as critical in the fight against climate change.
However, optimism prevailed at the UN gathering last week, following a slew of major pronouncements, including a pledge to halt deforestation.
The 26th Conference of the Parties (COP26) is set to end this week.
The prediction comes as the UK’s Met Office cautions that if global average temperature climbs by 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, a billion people might be killed by heat and humidity.
Climate Action Tracker’s research examines government commitments made before and during COP26.
It finds that greenhouse gas emissions that warm the earth will still be twice as high in 2030 as they must be to keep global warming below 1.5 degrees Celsius.
According to scientists, limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius will avoid the most devastating effects of climate change from occurring.
The 2015 COP meeting in Paris outlined a strategy for avoiding severe climate change, which includes “pursuing measures” to keep warming below 1.5 degrees Celsius.
However, when nations’ actual practices are examined rather than commitments, the world’s estimated warming by 2100 is 2.7 degrees Celsius, according to Climate Action Tracker. The Tracker has the support of several organizations, including Germany’s prominent Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research.
“This new computation is like to focusing a telescope on an asteroid headed for Earth. It’s a catastrophic study that, in any normal society, would prompt countries in Glasgow to put their differences aside and work tirelessly to reach an agreement to save our shared future “Jennifer Morgan, executive director of Greenpeace International, stated this.
However, after the 2015 Paris climate summit, when Climate Action Tracker assessed that policies placed the world on pace to warm by 3.6 degrees Celsius, the world’s prognosis has brightened.
Climate Action Tracker attributes poor progress in reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 to “stalled impetus” from governments.
It claims that fresh pledges by the US and China to attain net zero have improved its temperature predicting marginally. However, it indicates that the majority of government plans to mitigate climate change are of poor quality.
To achieve net zero emissions, first reduce greenhouse gas emissions as much as feasible, then balance off any residual emissions by planting trees, which absorb CO2.
More than 140 nations have committed to achieving net zero emissions, which would cover 90% of world emissions.
Only a few, according to Climate Action Tracker, have measures in place to meet the target. It looked at the policies of 40 nations and found that just a small percentage of them are deemed “appropriate,” accounting for only a small portion of global emissions.
“If they don’t have a strategy to get there, and their 2030 objectives are as low as so many of them are, then these net zero ambitions are merely lip service to actual climate action,” Bill Hare, CEO of Climate Analytics, one of the organizations behind the Tracker, said.
The organization determines that sustained coal and gas production is the major cause of the discrepancy between promises and predictions.